The Macro Minute with Darius Dale

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Does the US–Israel–Iran ceasefire signal a pending RORO phase transition to a risk-on Market Regime?

Today’s Macro Minute breaks down why the US–Israel–Iran ceasefire is a potential game-changer for markets. Darius explains how the removal of left-tail geopolitical risk is shifting the distribution of outcomes more positively, increasing the likelihood of a transition back to a risk-on regime.

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  Should the Fed look through the latest inflationary supply shock?

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  Did NVIDIA $NVDA and Walmart $WMT signal enough to support a continuation …

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  Is the stock market mispriced?

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  Are investors too all in on AI?

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  Is the US economy being run too hot, Pt. III?

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  Is this the start of a correction or crash?

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  Where are we in the global liquidity cycle?

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  Is the US economy being run too hot, Pt. II?

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  Is the US economy being run too hot?

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  Will President Trump anchor on soaring stock prices or soaring gas prices …

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  Is US productivity growth still booming?

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  Is the US Treasury still keenly focused on supporting asset markets?

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  Are we nearing the end of US exceptionalism in asset markets?

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  Did the most impactful 24-hour period of macro and micro data in history s…

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  When will the BOJ act forcefully enough to tone down volatility in the lon…

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  Is it time for investors to take profits?