The Macro Minute with Darius Dale

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Is the US economy being run too hot?

In today's Macro Minute, we break down what nominal GDP tracking above 10% on a three-month annualized basis means for your portfolio — and why investors need to start considering the other side of the distribution. With April CPI printing at its hottest levels since 2022, energy prices surging past $4.50 at the pump, and early signs of a global liquidity crisis emerging from the UK and India, the risk-off probability is rising.

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  Should the Fed look through the latest inflationary supply shock?

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  Did NVIDIA $NVDA and Walmart $WMT signal enough to support a continuation …

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  Is the stock market mispriced?

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  Are investors too all in on AI?

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  Is the US economy being run too hot, Pt. III?

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  Is this the start of a correction or crash?

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  Where are we in the global liquidity cycle?

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  Is the US economy being run too hot, Pt. II?

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  Will President Trump anchor on soaring stock prices or soaring gas prices …

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  Is US productivity growth still booming?

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  Is the US Treasury still keenly focused on supporting asset markets?

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  Are we nearing the end of US exceptionalism in asset markets?

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  Did the most impactful 24-hour period of macro and micro data in history s…

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  When will the BOJ act forcefully enough to tone down volatility in the lon…

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  Is it time for investors to take profits?