FiveThirtyEight Politics

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Trump Wins Iowa. Now What?

The crew reacts to former President Donald Trump’s decisive victory in Iowa, as well as the race for second place, in which Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis edged out former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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  Why Voters Are Worried About Democracy, In Their Own Words

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  Campaign Throwback: 'Soccer Moms'

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  The Sun Belt Shifts Away From Biden

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  Are We Smarter Than The Betting Markets?

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  Campaign Throwback: 'The Economy, Stupid'

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  Will The Protests Over Gaza Affect The 2024 Election?

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  Why Voters Are Down On The Economy, In Their Own Words

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  A Tale Of Two Trump Trials

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  538's New Polling Averages Show Close Presidential Race

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  Are Mike Johnson’s Days Numbered?

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  In Trump Trial, Jury Selection Is Part Politics

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  The Political Stakes Of Trump's First Trial

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  What's Up With The Kids These Days?

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  Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

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  Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?

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  The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest